Scenario Planning
Scenario Planning is a structured method for exploring multiple plausible futures so a group can stress-test their strategies against uncertainty. Rather than trying to predict what will happen, participants identify the forces most likely to shape their environment, then build a small set of distinct, internally consistent stories about how those forces might play out.
✓ Created by former KPMG & McKinsey consultants
What You'll Achieve with the Scenario Planning Workshop
Real outcomes that transform your team
Enhanced strategic flexibility by preparing for multiple future scenarios.
Increased awareness of potential blind spots in current strategies.
Improved decision-making through rigorous stress-testing of plans across various futures.
When to Use the Scenario Planning Workshop
Perfect for these situations and team challenges
When the team faces genuine uncertainty about future market conditions and needs to develop flexible strategies.
How the Scenario Planning Workshop Works
A step-by-step breakdown of the workshop process
1Setup
Define the focal question, prepare a briefing document, set up the room, and prepare materials for the session.
2Step 1: Set the Stage
Align the group on the purpose of the workshop, explain what Scenario Planning is, and set ground rules for participation.
3Step 2: Identify Driving Forces
Participants identify external forces and trends that could impact the focal question by writing them on cards and clustering them on a wall.
4Step 3: Prioritise for Impact and Uncertainty
Using dot stickers, the group votes on the driving forces to identify the two most critical uncertainties that will form the axes of the scenario matrix.
Key Topics Covered in the Scenario Planning Workshop
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